Forecast of Record

A win chance for every NFL game, sealed before kickoff. Every forecast graded in public.

How it works

A published Elo rating model gives every game a win chance. Each week's forecasts are sealed on Tuesday night, before any of that week's games kick off. After the games, every forecast is graded with a Brier score, misses included, and the full record stays public.

Episodes

A weekly video episode covers the full slate, last week's record, and the week's featured games. The voice in the episodes is synthetic. The model, the forecasts and the grades are the channel's own.

The forecast record and grades will be published on this site as the season runs.